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Forex Trading – A Peep Into The Fibonacci Den

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ForexAbode.com

Fibonacci analysis started with retracements of prices during a trend according to Fibonacci sequence. And it is really surprising how many times we see the trending prices retracing to Fibonacci levels of 38.2%, 50% or 61.8% and then continuing the trend.

When we talk about Fibonacci numbers in nature etc, it seems to have some magic behind it. But then every magic has a logic behind it. What I am talking is Fibonacci in flower petals, in shell spirals, in the family trees of rabbits and cows and so on. But the why Fibonacci works in trading also? Is it that magic or is there a logic? Well, no magic is without a logic or reasoning and same is true with Fibonacci analysis in trading Why do technical analysis indicators work? The major reason that any technical analysis indicator works is mainly because of the number of traders taking major positions on the basis of the signals generated by it. The success of any indicator depends on the number of traders following the signals generated by it. A sell signal comes and people start selling big and the prices would drop further down. Going back to what was mentioned above that Fibonacci sequence, at times, shows that there is a mystery behind it. That makes traders to try to find newer ways of analysis based on Fibonacci sequence. And that brought in so many other Fibonacci indicators in trading market. These tools are Fibonacci extensions, Fibonacci Arcs, Fibonacci Fans, Fibonacci Time zones etc. All these indicators use Fibonacci sequence of numbers in different ways. As an example Fibonacci retracement levels are flat levels and take into account only the prices while Fibonacci arcs take the prices and time into consideration This article is to see which Fibonacci indicators we should use. Which Fibonacci analysis is better? Well, I would say that the better is which tends to be the base of major trades as a tool used by more number of traders. The professional traders always like the simplicity in their analysis while even if they analyze larger volumes of diversified data. They would not use a big numbers of indicators but only selective ones. And hence the vote would go to the original Fibonacci retracements amongst all the other Fibonacci indicators. Fibonacci retracement and extension but to which level: 38.2%, 50% or 61.8% or more? To what level we should expect the correction depends on the strength of the trend. When the trends are very strong a correction may not be very big. During the trends which are not trends the retracement levels may be big. It is always advisable to use some indicators to check what is the strength of the trend and whether any indicator is indicating a trend reversal. We can use ADX, Stochastic and MACD, Ichimoku clouds etc. If the ongoing trend is very strong then price may not retrace very much and may only go to 38.2% level. If the trend is moderate then it may further retrace to deeper levels. A balanced combination of complementing technical indicators is always good. Use of technical indicators and time frames: What kind of time frame charts the traders are using and what kind of trades they are making for major trades also adds to the dependability of the signals. One thing is sure that no big trades would happen on the basis of the analysis on 5 minue charts. Keeping a track of longer term charts and shorter term charts is always important to see the true direction and knowing entry and exit points.

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Forex Trading – A Peep Into The Fibonacci Den